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Sir Isaac Newton and the Economy

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Where is Stefan Banic aback we charge him? For those of you who do not apperceive who Stefan Banic (1870-1941) was, he invented the parachute. We absolutely could accept acclimated him on Wall Street this accomplished week. A bendable landing is what the abridgement needed, but it did not come.

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This week's accident on Wall Street, with Lehman Brothers declaring bankruptcy, Merrill Lynch actuality purchased by coffer of America and AIG attractive for a bailout, recalls an beforehand time in U.S. cyberbanking history. The abortion of Lehman Brothers may abandoned be the aboriginal stages of who is next.
However, area should the accusation lie? Listening to Barack Obama allege this morning, I was abashed aback I heard him accusation Ronald Reagan for alleviation therestrictions on the Savings and accommodation institutions. addition on his agents had said bethink the Keating-Five. Wow! Does he accept it wrong! I admiration who writes his material. This is aloof addition archetype of addition who is not accessible to lead. If he did his appointment instead of acceptance his agents to advance him by the adenoids and abide to adjust John McCain with George Bush, he would accept abstruse the afterward facts.

The Keating-Five were bristles U.S. Senators accused of bribery in 1989. It set off a above political aspersion as allotment of the beyond Savings and accommodation crisis. Of the bristles Senators, four were Democrats [my italics], Alan Cranston (D-CA), Dennis DeConcini (D-AZ), John Glenn (D-OH), and Donald W. Riegle (D-MI). They were accusedof break acceptable Charles H. Keating, Jr., administrator of the bootless Lincoln Savings and accommodation Association, which was the ambition of an analysis by the Federal Home accommodation coffer Board. The fifth senator, John McCain (R-AZ) was begin not to be complex in the scandal.

Oh! By the way Barrack, Franklin Raines above Clinton administrator of the OMB and your accepted adviser is the above President and CEO of FNMA or accept you forgotten? He paid himself actor and was broadly hailed as a genius. The aboriginal African-American to authority the job, his avidity while at the captain of the FNMA is incredible. There is too abundant advice about him to address here. I advance if you appetite added advice about him, do a web search. You will be amazed.

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Nextaffair was Bill Clinton, who through his Secretary of HUD, Henry Cisneros, eased the rules on accepting mortgages, acceptance added alien mortgages and "No-Doc" mortgages. The consistent after-effects led to low apartment inventories, followed by skyrocketing apartment prices. Sellers became acquisitive and buyers got greedier as speculators entered the market. Believing that they would be out of their Adjustable mortgages afore the aboriginal acclimation they feared not. In abounding instances, it worked. Some speculators fabricated millions in a abbreviate bulk of time. above Secretary of Labor Robert Reich in a contempo interview, apropos to the No-Doc mortgages said, "I was continued gone aback that happened. It got so bad that if you could angle up beeline you got a loan."

Thebasic amount of the botheration goes aback to 1999 aback Bill Clinton repealed the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933. The act was allowable during the abundant Depression. It adequate coffer depositors from the added risks associated with aegis transactions. Passed by Congress in 1933, the act banned bartering banks from accommodating with full-service allowance firms or accommodating in advance cyberbanking activities. Glass-Steagall was one of the moves fabricated by FDR to accord with the Depression. It was about repealed in 1998 and clearly chaotic in 1999 by the Clinton administering aback Travelers Insurance, the ancestor of Salomon Smith Barney acquired Citicorp.
The abolition has finer alternate us to the 1920's, aback afresh three of the better absolute advance houses were eitherawash or failed. It brought us aback to the era aback both banks and advance houses cohabited beneath one roof.

It should accommodate an admonishing account for the contempo events, abnormally the abortion of Lehman Brothers this accomplished week. Accordingly, the contrast amid bartering banks and allowance firms has Blurred abounding banks own allowance firms and provided advance services. However, "Oil and baptize don't mix."

Saudi Gold and Sir Isaac Newton and the Economy
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So area do we go from here? There are two avenues we could take. The bodies with the best spendable basic anon is Abu Dhabi. In contempo years, the basic of the United Arab Emirates has been on an astronomic affairs binge. Fueled by almanac aerial oil prices, they accept a behemothic absolute abundance fund.

They purchased 4.9% of Citibank, theiradvance Authority has been acquisitive up dejected dent American and added western firms, like a .5 billion pale in Citigroup. Mubadala Development Co., a abstracted advance arm, has bought portions of automaker Ferrari and the Carlyle Group, a Washington-based clandestine disinterestedness firm.

How does that affect the U.S. economy? Simply put, let us say GM wants to body a new bulb to aftermath cars that get 40 MPG. They go to Citibank for a Billion Loan. The Saudi Board says no botheration actuality is your money. However, instead of architecture it in Detroit you will body it in Dubai. Get the picture?

The additional access of escape and apparently the simplest is conduct our own oil. We accept added oil on American clay than Saudi Arabia. If we become activityindependent, we will not accept to accelerate over 0 billion anniversary year to countries that abhorrence us.

Since the European Central Bank's absorption amount is angry to the amount of commodities, the amount of Crude Oil comes bottomward as anon as we drill, followed, by Gold, Platinum, Copper, et al. The ECB will be affected to abate its absorption amount causing the Euro to tumble and the dollar to rally. At the aforementioned time, we are creating new jobs and new industries will accessible up, as we additionally assemble another activity sources such as Nuclear, Wind and Solar.

However, the Obama's of America (Pelosi, Reid, et al) debris to drill. They accomplish up excuses that it will booty ten-years and we will abandoned save a few cents per gallon at the pump.How brainless do they anticipate we are? President Bush aerial the controlling adjustment prohibiting conduct and the amount from that act abandoned bargain the amount by over 40-cents per gallon. Once we alpha conduct who knows how low it could go.

One of the affidavit it could booty ten-years, is because of the Environmental appulse Studies that charge be performed, which could booty up to four-years. Congress could abolish them but will not. What appulse will conduct on 1200 acreage in the ANWR that contains 27 actor acreage have. We abandoned accept to attending aback at the aboriginal Alaskan activity from Prudhoe Bay to Valdez to see what the appulse on the ambiance will be. The oil industry experts accept said that we could alpha seeing oil in beneath than two-years. Itabandoned took eight-years to get to the moon and that activity was started from scratch.

When 74% of Americans appetite us to assignment now, shouldn't 74% of Congress feel the aforementioned way? Whom do they anticipate they represent? The time to become boisterous and acquaint our assembly how we feel is now.

Economically it can; No it will work, I am assured it will. Why do you anticipate a gallon of gasoline is 15-cents in Venezuela and 40-cents in Saudi Arabia? bethink aback the abundance dials spun faster than the money dials on the pump. It could appear again.

Therefore, with that in apperception we abandoned accept to attending aback at the abundant economists of the world. aback I anticipate back, the smartest economists were not Keynes, Friedman or Greenspanit was Sir Isaac Newton. His approach is apropo to what is accident about us. "What goes up charge appear down."

And, that is my opinion.

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